Everything is being readied for war with Iran. The time is near. Yesterday, the talks with Iran fell apart. Iran’s terrorist regime wou...
Everything is being readied for war with Iran. The time is near.
Yesterday, the talks with Iran fell apart. Iran’s terrorist regime would not give an inch. They thought they were dealing with Obama or John Kerry. They learned they were not.
The US just handed Iran a document that is not a negotiation. It is a capitulation order.
The Wall Street Journal obtained the American demands presented in Geneva today. Destroy Fordow. Destroy Natanz. Destroy Isfahan. Hand over every gram of enriched uranium to the United States. Zero enrichment permanently, no sunset clauses, no expiration dates. Behave for the rest of your lives. In exchange, minimal sanctions relief upfront with more only if you comply with everything forever.
Iran’s counterproposal, approved personally by Khamenei, arrived showing almost no change from the previous round. A 3-to-5 year enrichment suspension. Increased IAEA oversight. Willingness to dilute stockpiles. But zero flexibility on the one demand Washington says is non-negotiable: permanent zero enrichment on Iranian soil.
The gap between these two positions is not a negotiation gap.
The Ayatollah confirmed the regime’s position from the pulpit.
Iran just closed the last door. From a pulpit. In front of God.
Ayatollah Ahmad Khatami stood before Friday prayers in Tehran today and declared: the Islamic Republic has never accepted suspension of enrichment and will not accept it. Not temporarily. Not partially. Not under any conditions.
Friday prayers in Iran are not sermons. They are state policy delivered through divine authority. When a senior cleric declares enrichment non-negotiable from the minbar, he is transmitting the Supreme Leader’s final position through the only channel that outranks a diplomatic cable.
Washington’s demands in Geneva: destroy Fordow, destroy Natanz, destroy Isfahan, hand over all enriched uranium, zero enrichment permanently. Iran’s own counterproposal offered a 3-to-5 year suspension with continued enrichment rights. Today Khatami did not just reject America’s position. He rejected Iran’s own compromise. The regime publicly narrowed its own negotiating room to zero.
400 kilograms of uranium enriched to 60 percent sits in Iranian facilities right now. Enough for roughly 10 weapons if further enriched. The centrifuges at Fordow under 80 meters of granite keep spinning.
Washington says dismantle. Tehran just made “never” into a religious covenant that no negotiator can walk back without challenging God’s representatives on earth.
Now hold what happened on this single Friday, February 27.
China told its citizens to leave Iran. The country selling Iran missiles evacuated its own people. Ambassador Huckabee emailed Jerusalem staff: leave Israel today. Canada issued its strongest warning. India, Germany followed. And then Khatami stood before Friday prayers and slammed the door on the only demand Washington calls non-negotiable.
Six governments evacuated. One ayatollah spoke. The distance between America’s only acceptable outcome and Iran’s only acceptable position became infinite.
Tomorrow Oman’s Foreign Minister meets Vance in Washington carrying Tehran’s message. After today, we know what that message cannot contain. It cannot contain zero enrichment. It cannot contain permanent suspension. It cannot contain the one thing America says it must.
Diplomacy requires two open doors. Today Iran locked its from the inside and handed the key to God.
What remains is 500 aircraft, two carriers, 11 F-22s, a kamikaze drone unit, six nations evacuating, and one country that just told its people and its God it will never surrender. The moment of truth is very, very near.
Everything you are about to read happened in the last 24 hours.
The USS Gerald R. Ford arrived off Israel. The USS Abraham Lincoln is conducting underway replenishment 850 kilometers from Iran, loading munitions and fuel for sustained combat operations. MizarVision satellite imagery shows four F-22 Raptors positioned on the active runway at Ovda Airbase in Israel. Not parked. Not sheltered. On the runway. That is hot-launch posture.
The US State Department ordered evacuation of non-essential employees and families from the embassy in Baghdad. Separately, the US Embassy in Jerusalem approved evacuation of non-essential staff from Israel. Two American embassies, two countries, same order, same day.
Israel began opening public bomb shelters in Beersheba, Tel Aviv, and Raanana. Hundreds of IDF reserve soldiers were called up for the air defense command. Yediot Ahronot reported the callups today. You do not activate air defense reserves unless you expect inbound missiles.
Al-Udeid Air Base in Qatar, America’s largest air operations center in the Middle East, is completely empty of refueling aircraft. Tankers do not vanish from their home base. They disperse to secondary locations before operations begin so a single Iranian missile strike cannot destroy the refueling fleet on the ground. Empty tarmac at Al-Udeid is not absence. It is distribution.
37 fighter jets landed at RAF Lakenheath in the last 24 hours. 12 F-35As. 12 F-15E Strike Eagles. 13 F-22 Raptors. They are expected to depart for the Middle East soon. The staging base is reloading heavier than the first wave that sent Raptors to Israel four days ago.
Two carriers in position. F-22s on hot runway. Tankers dispersed. Embassies evacuating from both sides of the theater. Bomb shelters opening in three Israeli cities. Air defense reserves activated. Strike aircraft staging in England. Supply ships topping off a carrier strike group within missile range of Iran.
This is not buildup. Buildup is what happened last week. This is final positioning. Every asset is where it needs to be for the first 72 hours of a campaign. The only thing missing is the order.
Tomorrow Oman’s Foreign Minister meets Vance carrying Tehran’s answer. After Friday’s sermon declaring enrichment sacred and six governments evacuating their people, we know what that answer contains. And we know what follows when Washington receives it.
The clock no longer reads days. It reads hours. https://open.substack.com/pub/shanakaanslemperera/p/the-arithmetic-of-collapse-irans?r=6p7b5o&utm_medium=ios
Ambassador Huckabee just told his staff to leave Israel by the end of the day.
Mike Huckabee, the man Donald Trump personally appointed to represent America in Israel, sent an email to every embassy employee in Jerusalem telling them that anyone wishing to depart should book “any available flight” and leave Israeli soil before the day ends.
No comments