Elon Musk: Here’s Why World Population Will Start To Collapse Soon

SpaceX and Tesla CEO Elon Musk reiterated a theory on Friday that he's promoted in the past: that the world is not only not heading rapidly toward an unsustainable population by mid-century, it's poised for a population collapse.


In a tweet noted by Business Insider, the billionaire PayPal co-founder, responding to a post by World of Engineering citing a projected world population of 9,346,399,468 by 1950, refuted the warnings overpopulation.
"1950 (historical) world population - 2,556,000,053," World of Engineering tweeted Thursday. "Current world population - 7,712,343,478[;] 2050 (projected) world population - 9,346,399,468."
"Real issue will [be] an aging & declining world population by 2050, *not* overpopulation," Musk responded. "[Jørgen] Randers estimate far more accurate than UN imo," Musk added, linking to a Wikipedia article containing several population projections, including by Randers.
In a follow-up tweet, Musk agreed with a followerer that the population will be an "inverse pyramid," writing: "Yes, demographics, stratified by age, will look like an upside down pyramid with many old people & fewer young."


1950 (historical) world population - 2,556,000,053

Current world population - 7,712,343,478

2050 (projected) world population - 9,346,399,468
Real issue will an aging & declining world population by 2050, *not* overpopulation. Randers estimate far more accurate than UN imo: https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Projections_of_population_growth 

846 people are talking about this

The report Musk cites contains several competing projections on the population by 2050, including the theory promoted by Randers in 2012 (footnotes removed):
Jørgen Randers, one of the authors of the seminal 1972 long-term simulations in The Limits to Growth, offered an alternative scenario in a 2012 book, arguing that traditional projections insufficiently take into account the downward impact of global urbanization on fertility. Randers' "most likely scenario" predicts a peak in the world population in the early 2040s at about 8.1 billion people, followed by decline.
These projected growth patterns depend on assumptions about vital rates. Total fertility is assumed to continue to decline, at varying paces depending on circumstances in individual countries, to a below-replacement level of 1.85 children per woman by mid century.
Elon Musk: Here’s Why World Population Will Start To Collapse Soon Elon Musk: Here’s Why World Population Will Start To Collapse Soon Reviewed by STATION GOSSIP on 08:09 Rating: 5

No comments:

Powered by Blogger.